REO Starting to Open Up?

There is a report out on Bloomberg that FDIC bank regulators are in the process of issuing guidelines on commercial real estate loan workouts for banks.  Is this the moment we’ve all been waiting for?  Probably so, and I am looking for 2010 to be the year of commercial real estate REO as there was a lot of talk about REO in 2009 but it never really materialized, save some of the single and multi-family residential.

Bridgewater Falls in suburban Cincinnati, Ohio may be a shade of things to come.  Bridgewater Falls is a 600,000 sq. ft. “power town” originally developed by the now defunct Premier Properties.  The center is basically a hybrid, something of a cross between a traditional power center and a lifestyle center.  Believe it or not, this center had an $80 million dollar loan on it and entered foreclosure in early 2009.  The lender, Wachovia, sold the property to itself for $33 million, or a whopping 59 percent less than the original loan, after no higher bids emerged at an auction back in March of 2009.

Just last week this center traded hands again.  The buyer, a distress/opportunity fund operated by Phillips Edison, paid $43 million for the center in an all cash transaction.  My sources tell me the cap rate was in the range of 10%-11%, thereby raising the bar for these types of transactions.  The tenants are basically a who’s who of retail survivors that you want in a power center project – JC Penney, Target, Dick’s, TJ Maxx, Best Buy, Bed Bath & Beyond and PetSmart.  This type of project could have easily traded in the 8%-9% range just a few short years ago.  Clearly this sets a new lower level of value for power/big box centers.  This segment is where notable distress exists in retail real estate given the rampant overbuilding throughout this decade (almost 50% of new space constructed was in power center/big box retail), and the fallout from the bankruptcies of Circuit City, Linen’s N Things.  I look for many more of these opportunities to become available and I strongly feel 10% is the new cap rate floor in these types of transactions.  REO buyers take heed.

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Tags: , , , ,   Posted in Big Box, Commercial Real Estate, Junior Box, Shopping Center REITs

A Retail Bright Spot: Food with a Twist

Here’s a tale of excitement and shoppers flocking to get the goods and services they want amidst this retailing climate plagued by gloom and doom.

Providence Town Center is a “power town” shopping center that recently opened in Collegeville, PA – a Philadelphia suburb.  The project is intended to be a hybrid power center/lifestyle center.  A 132,000 sq. ft. Wegman’s opened on Sunday to a throng of shoppers, including 1,500 who lined up at the door at 7AM.   (Wegman’s is a good story in and of itself.  They are quite well known in the mid-Atlantic for high quality stores and a loyal customer following.)  The twist is this particular Wegman’s includes The Pub, a full-service restaurant located inside the store’s Market Café.

The enthusiasm and excitement of the shoppers is a bright spot and a testament to delivering what the people want and where they want it.

Providence Town Center also includes Best Buy, LA Fitness, Dick’s Sporting Goods, DSW Shoes, Ulta Cosmetics, Five Below, Staples, PetsMart, Michaels’, Raymour & Flanigan, PNC Bank, PF Chang’s, Eastern Mountain Sport (EMS), and Olive Garden.  This is one of the larger retail projects to open this year (about 500,000 sq. ft.).  Private developer Brandolini Companies also envisions a lifestyle center as part of the project in the future, adding another 200,000 sq. ft. or so.   As one might expect, this component has been delayed for the time being.  I have seen many hybrid centers around the country but few with full-line grocery stores.  Power center developers, take note.

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Tags: , , ,   Posted in Big Box, General Retail, Junior Box, Retail Real Estate